Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.239501 0.271252 0.305100 0.343808 0.386789 0.432988 0.486341
2025-09-14 0.195008 0.237277 0.285159 0.343205 0.411443 0.488881 0.583167
2025-09-21 0.163677 0.212000 0.269691 0.343190 0.433838 0.541440 0.678249
2025-09-28 0.140178 0.192089 0.257046 0.343516 0.454719 0.591945 0.772987
2025-10-05 0.123807 0.178530 0.249957 0.348825 0.480735 0.649105 0.878430
2025-10-12 0.112082 0.169310 0.246920 0.358171 0.511533 0.713193 0.995614
2025-10-19 0.100448 0.158595 0.240353 0.361459 0.533552 0.766125 1.100244
2025-10-26 0.091933 0.151216 0.237393 0.368922 0.561036 0.827140 1.218229
2025-11-02 0.085512 0.146123 0.236988 0.379544 0.593053 0.895469 1.349138
2025-11-09 0.076899 0.136596 0.228922 0.377826 0.606487 0.937600 1.444452
2025-11-16 0.069572 0.128275 0.221814 0.376686 0.620187 0.980177 1.541718
2025-11-23 0.063116 0.120662 0.215038 0.375281 0.632956 1.021462 1.638354
2025-11-30 0.058788 0.116435 0.213663 0.382814 0.660746 1.087728 1.777264
2025-12-07 0.053561 0.110035 0.208069 0.382912 0.676563 1.136324 1.891510
2025-12-14 0.048959 0.104250 0.202966 0.383314 0.692667 1.185877 2.009228
2025-12-21 0.044880 0.098981 0.198256 0.383903 0.708879 1.236082 2.129879
2025-12-28 0.041982 0.095679 0.196754 0.389885 0.734335 1.302084 2.278266
2026-01-04 0.039924 0.093828 0.197730 0.400266 0.767761 1.382399 2.452889
2026-01-11 0.037205 0.090295 0.195189 0.403933 0.789470 1.444015 2.599113
2026-01-18 0.035254 0.088171 0.195159 0.412186 0.819628 1.520933 2.773539
2026-01-25 0.033824 0.087026 0.196937 0.423911 0.856546 1.610742 2.972858
2026-02-01 0.031115 0.082692 0.191896 0.422024 0.868244 1.657313 3.100238
2026-02-08 0.028714 0.078782 0.187375 0.420770 0.880898 1.705855 3.232559